Win 90% of Your Trades (at a cost), Study These Indicators ASAP and These Recession Indicators Release in The Next 4 Weeks | tastylive Weekly Roundup
Win 90% of Your Trades (at a cost), Study These Indicators ASAP and These Recession Indicators Release in The Next 4 Weeks | tastylive Weekly Roundup
By:Eric Villa
Our best stories on YouTube this week
- It's possible to win the vast majority of your trades, but that's not necessarily the most efficient approach.
- Use these trading indicators to become 10 times as aware of the market.
- Comparing September 2023 to September 2008 reveals surprising similarities.
- Recession watch: these numbers will make or break the global economic growth narrative.
The dark side of winning 98% of trades
If you had the opportunity to win 97% of your trades, would you worry about the catch? This week, we've analyzed trades with winning probabilities as high as 90% to understand the potential costs associated with such high success rates. To delve into the less glamorous side of winning, click on the video above.
Ditch technical analysis—look at these indicators
Studying technical analysis patterns is an imperfect science, yet the research team at tastylive has conducted a comprehensive study that goes beyond mere price indicators. In this study, we investigates the relationship between volatility, implied volatility, price and market conditions. If you're interested in understanding how options contract prices may fluctuate following a market correction, or if you want to establish a data-backed directional bias, then this is for you. Click the video above to gain valuable insight that could potentially enhance your trading strategies.
2023 vs. 2008—a macro expert on the rise of zombie banks
September is shaping up as an intriguing month, potentially marked by volatility and higher yields that could pose risks to certain institutions. From the ongoing instability in the Chinese real estate market to macro patterns that bear an uncanny resemblance to the fall of 2008, it's crucial to discern between mere noise and factors that will genuinely influence the markets. Chris Vecchio, Tom Sosnoff and Tony Battista offer their thoughts on this week's Let Me Explain. Stay informed and motivated, traders!
Dollar buying to heat up if recession fears hit the markets
It’s official. The global economy is bucking substantial headwinds. Four basic factors will determine whether stocks will fall and the dollar will rise in the coming months. As central bankers around the world attempt to manage inflationary forces, watch these factors for signs of change:
- PMI numbers: The purchasing manager index (PMI) is an indicator of economic growth dynamics. The upcoming release of August PMI numbers is crucial in assessing the state of the business cycle and its impact on various markets, such as stocks, currencies, commodities and interest rates.
- Eurozone recession risk: The Eurozone is at risk of entering a recession, with consecutive months of contraction in the composite index. Germany, the largest economy on the continent, has already experienced a decline in GDP. Expectations for the August PMI numbers suggest further contraction or slower growth in the Eurozone.
- U.S. resilience: The U.S. economy has shown resilience, with economic data consistently outperforming expectations. However, concerns remain regarding inflation expectations and the Federal Reserve's ability to combat it. The PMI numbers for the U.S. are expected to show steady growth but at a slightly slower rate.
- Impact on central banks: tastylive’s head of Global Macro, Ilya Spivak, suggests central banks may face challenges in managing inflation expectations while also stimulating economic growth. The possibility of stronger PMI numbers could reinforce the idea that central banks are not ready to loosen monetary policy, which could lead to a global recession. This scenario could have implications for various assets, with defensive assets potentially benefiting while cyclical and growth-sensitive assets may face downward pressure.
Eric Villa is a YouTube specialist at tastylive.
For live daily programming, market news and commentary, visit tastylive or the YouTube channels tastylive (for options traders), and tastyliveTrending for stocks, futures, forex & macro.
Trade with a better broker, open a tastytrade account today. tastylive, Inc. and tastytrade, Inc. are separate but affiliated companies.
Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before deciding to invest in options.
tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. (“tastylive”) and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. tastylive is not in the business of transacting securities trades, nor does it direct client commodity accounts or give commodity trading advice tailored to any particular client’s situation or investment objectives. Supporting documentation for any claims (including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read the applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange-Traded Options Risk Disclosure found on tastytrade.com/disclosures.
tastytrade, Inc. ("tastytrade”) is a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA, NFA, and SIPC. tastytrade was previously known as tastyworks, Inc. (“tastyworks”). tastytrade offers self-directed brokerage accounts to its customers. tastytrade does not give financial or trading advice, nor does it make investment recommendations. You alone are responsible for making your investment and trading decisions and for evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of tastytrade’s systems, services or products. tastytrade is a wholly-owned subsidiary of tastylive, Inc.
tastytrade has entered into a Marketing Agreement with tastylive (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastytrade pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastytrade’s brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastytrade. tastytrade and Marketing Agent are separate entities with their own products and services. tastylive is the parent company of tastytrade.
tastycrypto is provided solely by tasty Software Solutions, LLC. tasty Software Solutions, LLC is a separate but affiliate company of tastylive, Inc. Neither tastylive nor any of its affiliates are responsible for the products or services provided by tasty Software Solutions, LLC. Cryptocurrency trading is not suitable for all investors due to the number of risks involved. The value of any cryptocurrency, including digital assets pegged to fiat currency, commodities, or any other asset, may go to zero.
© copyright 2013 - 2024 tastylive, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Applicable portions of the Terms of Use on tastylive.com apply. Reproduction, adaptation, distribution, public display, exhibition for profit, or storage in any electronic storage media in whole or in part is prohibited under penalty of law, provided that you may download tastylive’s podcasts as necessary to view for personal use. tastylive was previously known as tastytrade, Inc. tastylive is a trademark/servicemark owned by tastylive, Inc.