Today, Frank Kaberna talks about the upcoming economic data scheduled to be released this week, including earnings announcements, interest rate decisions, and inflation reports. He notes that some stocks might benefit from higher interest rates, while others might not, and discusses the recent performance of some companies like Oracle and US Bancorp.
The video's main segment focuses on the inverted yield curve, which has caused much debate on whether it signals an economic recession. The inverted yield curve happens when short-term interest rates exceed long-term interest rates, and there are concerns that it may be associated with a market crash or a recession.
Historically, yield curve inversion precedes a recession, but this time, yield curve inversion is due to inflation, which was not a driving factor in previous instances. The video notes that the economy is still performing well despite some downturns in the stock market, and there are factors at play that make this time different and less predictable.
The upcoming US inflation report is seen as an inflection point for whether inflation is under control or will continue to be a concern. If it continues to rise, it could further increase demand for US dollars, and the euro-USD market could trend lower.
The video concludes by reminding viewers that trading in forex, securities, futures products, and digital assets comes with risks and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested.
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